Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.196793 0.228272 0.263187 0.304790 0.353029 0.407223 0.472764
2025-06-01 0.149247 0.191797 0.244011 0.312838 0.401273 0.511228 0.658578
2025-06-08 0.121722 0.167772 0.228326 0.313866 0.431795 0.588994 0.815074
2025-06-15 0.104595 0.152640 0.219482 0.319396 0.465308 0.671206 0.984977
2025-06-22 0.088442 0.135590 0.204457 0.312553 0.478479 0.724452 1.118587
2025-06-29 0.076896 0.123203 0.193848 0.309698 0.495639 0.783736 1.266633
2025-07-06 0.068641 0.114494 0.187283 0.311521 0.519232 0.854338 1.439692
2025-07-13 0.064374 0.111469 0.189044 0.326473 0.565134 0.964947 1.690717
2025-07-20 0.059931 0.107465 0.188510 0.337172 0.604678 1.068878 1.942433
2025-07-27 0.055939 0.103662 0.187718 0.347047 0.643520 1.175374 2.210891
2025-08-03 0.051423 0.098304 0.183455 0.349949 0.669740 1.261771 2.452227
2025-08-10 0.046539 0.091634 0.175965 0.345794 0.681979 1.323265 2.652951
2025-08-17 0.041280 0.083710 0.165401 0.334832 0.680484 1.359845 2.812378
2025-08-24 0.038833 0.081065 0.164741 0.343401 0.718866 1.478910 3.153927
2025-08-31 0.035873 0.076991 0.160723 0.344539 0.741975 1.569531 3.447029
2025-09-07 0.033708 0.074306 0.159194 0.350613 0.776009 1.686275 3.810189
2025-09-14 0.030561 0.069116 0.151798 0.343097 0.779553 1.738223 4.036097
2025-09-21 0.028118 0.065191 0.146673 0.339960 0.792368 1.811650 4.319605
2025-09-28 0.026313 0.062501 0.143964 0.341962 0.817087 1.914399 4.684190
2025-10-05 0.025686 0.062482 0.147283 0.358387 0.877535 2.106123 5.286288
2025-10-12 0.024763 0.061641 0.148594 0.370142 0.928092 2.280149 5.866512
2025-10-19 0.023834 0.060676 0.149499 0.380990 0.977665 2.457337 6.476940
2025-10-26 0.022518 0.058591 0.147450 0.384178 1.008242 2.590910 6.991060